Rasmussen Poll: Ron Paul Can Tie Barack Obama In 2012 Run-Off

Good tidings for anti-corporatists! Rasmussen Reports has just released a poll in which a hypothetical 2012 matchup between President Barack Obama and Congressman Ron Paul results in a tie, with the incumbent winning 42% to 41%. But just who are all these people voting for renegade Republican with the rabid internet following? Rasmussen doesn’t really say.

Paul, who, at 74 years of age would be the oldest president in history if elected, must be feeling that his chances are better than ever. He won the straw poll at CPAC and came in at a close second to Mitt Romney in the SRLC’s straw poll. Now a major polling institution felt compelled to match him against the President in 2012, and the results, whatever they are based on, are positive. While Rasmussen admits that Paul polled weak among Republicans and people with high trust in the government (what Rasmussen defines as the “Political Class,” they also note that Paul won 58% of the vote among those with low trust in government (what Rasmussen defines as the “Mainstream Class”). Paul also does badly among Republicans when asked whether he is a divisive force in the party, with 27% of them saying he is (compare this to Sarah Palin, for example, who only 18% of Republicans view as divisive).

While the results are probably cause to celebrate for socially liberal Republicans, there are some key facts missing from this evaluation. For one, the write-up on the poll is suspiciously murky on who the people polled are, where they live, or how many of them there are. The clearest idea we get of who was questioned is that the poll was a “national telephone survey of likely voters”—this could mean about one thousand (the average for Gallup and Rasmussen polls) surveyed from a politically and geographically even pool of participants. It could also mean that a pool of 500 New Hampshire Free-Staters and 100 San Francisco liberals were surveyed, with no real representation in between. Rasmussen doesn’t provide relief from this doubt, so the validity of this survey is completely up in the air, but combined with the recent straw polls and Paul’s astute television appearances as of late, there could be something to this crackpot theory that Paul might be the most viable Republican candidate in the next presidential elections.

[Photo via Wonkette]


Sarah Palin Makes Tons Of Money, Just Not From GOP Donors

From a financial standpoint quitting her Alaskan governorship last year was a genius move on Sarah Palin’s part (probably from a media standpoint as well, but that’s another post). In less than a year Palin has earned more than $12 million (possibly much more) which, as ABC News points out, is 100 times her old salary.

However, when it comes to raising funds for a 2012 election, Palin is not so popular. According to Politico Palin raised $400,000 in the first three months of the year, which falls short of both Tim Pawlenty’s $566K in the first quarter, and Mitt Romney, $1.45 million. Of course it remains to be seen whether Palin’s PAC actually exists to fund a 2012 run for the former Gov. or merely to fund lesser known Republicans in their bid for office. Judging from the high wire praise Palin received from a number of bold-face Republicans, including Newt Gingrich and Mary Matalin, at last week’s SRLC the party appears to the be banking on Palin’s stumping power rather than her electability. Video of the segment below.






Glenn Beck: ‘Mitt Romney Could Be The Only Guy That Could Win’ In 2012

Glenn Beck and radio pals Pat Gray and Stu Burguiere rattled down the list of potential Republican nominees for President in 2012 this morning, and they had some bad news for the Tea Party movement: Sarah Palin probably won’t run, Ron Paul is still and long shot, and Mitt Romney, as of now, is the GOP’s best bet.

While Gray and Burguiere are harsh to most of the candidates, Beck spreads the love around. He tells his co-hosts that he likes Palin but doesn’t think she will run, Bobby Jindal but doesn’t think he has the charisma, and Congressman Paul but doesn’t think America is ready for him. Then, at the bottom of the pile, he finds Mitt Romney:

I have to tell you that Mitt Romney could be the only guy that could win, and I don’t know if he could because I think that Americans are going to be I mean, this country is going to be in deep trouble by 2012, and the next term, if it’s not decided this term, the next term will decide our fate. Then I hope that Americans are ready for an adult and are ready for hard news.

It’s a strange, possibly sad conclusion from someone who had called Romney out for “flirting with socialism,” but ultimately Beck was trying to determine who could win, not who he thought should. If Beck was playing process of elimination, which he clearly was, it’s hard to refute his conclusion that Romney is the least likely candidate to crash and burn in a general election, if only for being a conservative from the most liberal state of America and having moderate successes like universal health care under his belt. Or– and this one is for you conspiracy theorists out there– maybe Beck is intentionally downplaying the Republican candidates’ ability to success so as to clear the brush and become the reluctant right-wing candidate by default. After all, he is the second-most popular human being in America.

Listen to the segment below:


Mitt Romney Pits His Record Against Obama’s In Larry King Campaign Stop

Mitt Romney is not wasting a single opportunity to make it abundantly clear to the American people that he wants Barack Obama’s job. Last night he visited Larry King to criticize the passing of the Democrats’ health care bill, calling it a violation of the oath of office and suggesting the means should have more closely resembled the Romney’s own negotiations for universal health care in Massachusetts.

Romney had previously stated that Obama had “betrayed” his oath of office– a statement King requested clarification on. Turns out Romney meant Obama had “violate[d] the principles which he laid out in the campaign” by passing health care reform, the single biggest campaign promise Obama made in 2008. Romney was more concerned with the means than the ends, though, citing the support he received from Massachusetts Democrats for the universal health care reform legislation passed under his tenure as governor.

“What he was supposed to do,” Romney suggested, was exactly what Romney did. Since exactly what Romney did was pass health care legislation that was not so different from Obama’s, Romney did eventually admit didn’t hate everything about Obamacare:

“Some elements in the bill are good, and many are bad. And the Democrats want to talk about the couple of maraschino cherries that are on top of the pile of dirt. But let’s talk about the dirt. But let’s talk also about the pile of dirt.”

And his insistence on talking about his record is not the only sign Romney is deliberately framing himself in opposition to the President. People who subscribe to his newsletter also received an email blast asking for contributions to his PAC in order to fight the health care bill.

Watch the Larry King interview below:



Stephen Baldwin Calls President Obama A Liar on Larry King Live

Actor, author and political activist Stephen Baldwin was part of a panel on Larry King Live last night, discussing health care reform and the Obama administration. When host Larry King came to Baldwin, he proclaimed “it’s official today, Barack Obama is the greatest gangster to ever come out of Chicago,” then followed with “Mr. Obama’s a liar.”

Baldwin then went on to point out that the health care bill failed to get one Republican vote, which he seemed to la at the feet of the Obama Administration. He then went on to rhetorically ask how, what he called a “broken government” could fix “broken health care system.”

Baldwin was joined by Kevin Madden, spokesman and senior advisor for Mitt Romney in his 2008 presidential bid, Marc Lamont Hill, professor at Columbia University, and actor and comedienne, Aisha Tyler, and was initially asked if he was offended by Vice President Joe Biden’s f-bomb. “Well, you know Larry, the bible says that out of the mouth comes the things that are in our heart, so I’m not surprised by Vice President’s potty mouth.”

Later in the segment Madden rebuked Baldwin, and took the high road, claiming that he was not interested in calling his opponents names. Lamont Hill also said that it was intellectually dishonest to claim, as Baldwin did, that 50% of American’s are unhappy with this bill simply because they were conservative. King asked Baldwin if he wanted to reconsider his words, to which he replied “absolutely not, Larry. The difference between me and everyone else talking is that I’m not afraid of the repercussions of speaking the truth.”


Politico’s Tea Party Popularity Survey: Love Beck, Hate McCain, Torn On Palin

It may be a bit early to predict what the impact of the recently-consolidated Tea Party movement will be on future elections (both this fall and in 2012), but as their relevance grows on the national political scene, their views carry increasingly more weight. To that end, Politico set out to find what tea partiers think of some of the conservative movement’s top leaders. While most results were predictable– their love of Glenn Beck and suspicion towards John McCain, for starters– Politico also found some surprises in the attitudes towards some of their biggest supporters.

It probably wouldn’t have taken extensive polling to discover that Sen. John McCain, who is facing a significant Tea Party challenge for his Arizona seat from radio personality JD Hayworth, is not the best-liked man in the Republican Party. McCain topped the list of least popular Republicans, with some surveyed citing his progressive tendencies, others his family’s support of same-sex marriage, and some even blaming him directly for putting “an inexperienced and corrupt man in the White House.” Also making the list? Polarizing Republican Party head Michael Steele, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, and moderate Republican Senator Lindsey Graham (who recently picked a fight with Tea Party favorite Glenn Beck). Almost every prominent Republican from the Northeast– Olympia Snowe, Susan Collins, Mitt Romney, et al– got a dishonorable mention, too.

Most of those garnering some Tea Party love are not currently holding public office, keeping with the movement’s spirit of being tired of career politicians. Beck and Sarah Palin made the top of the list while, somewhat surprisingly, more aggressive, traditionally conservative media figures like Andrew Breitbart and Michelle Malkin joined them. Among those in office that received praise were Representatives Ron Paul (who is often credited for founding the movement) and Michele Bachmann, and Senator Jim DeMint.

Most surprisingly of all? Even those who love Sarah Palin among Tea Partiers question her intelligence, her ties to John McCain and insistence on uniting the Republicans with the Tea Partiers. In a sign that maybe Beck was right when he refused to be her subordinate, one Tea Party leader commented that he believed she needed to be “under the wing” of someone with a better handle on issues, noting he believed “her education would excel under the guidance of Glenn Beck.”

Politico head Jim VandeHei went on Morning Joe this morning to discuss the survey results– watch the clip below:



[photo via]


Bill Maher Slams Mitt Romney, Links Mormons To Racism


Is it news that Bill Maher (whose background you must remember is in comedy, not politics) took a recent airline incident between rapper Sky Blue and former presidential candidate Mitt Romney as a chance to make a joke about how “the Mormons traditionally have not had a great relationship with ‘the black people’?” Absolutely not. Maher’s whole shtick is to be even more outrageous than Glenn Beck, under the guise of “It’s all for laughs.”

Except somewhere along the line Bill Maher started to be treated like an actual political pundit, which he is not, so every time he makes sweeping generalizations about how he wishes there was more religious persecution in America…he’s not just doing so for an audience at Comix. He’s doing it in front of a national audience that considers him the left’s answer to Ann Coulter.