Morning Joe ran through the numbers on Thursday and found that they’re not very good for President Trump. The show examined the new CNN/SSRS poll which found that 61% of Americans support Robert Mueller‘s ongoing investigation, 72% think Trump should testify under oath, and almost half of the country thinks the president ought to be impeached. Joe Scarborough acknowledged that these numbers might not change the behavior of congressional Republicans since so many are “scared of their own shadow,” though he found it remarkable that Trump managed to find new ways to make himself unpopular. “I would have never guessed, but the child separation followed by Helsinki and followed actually by the ugliness surrounding John McCain‘s funeral,” Scarborough said. “It’s had a devastating impact on the numbers.” Mika Brzezinski also got in on the conversation, saying “there’s a potpourri of issues where this president is repugnant.” Continue reading "Mika on Trump’s Low Poll Numbers: ‘Potpourri of Issues Where This President is Repugnant’"
The majority of Americans don’t think that players taking a knee during the national anthem is unpatriotic, according to a just-released Quinnipiac poll. According to the June 7 report, 58 percent of American voters say that the players choosing to protest are not being unpatriotic. In addition, the majority of American voters, 53 percent, say that professional athletes have the “right to protest on the playing field or court.” A narrow majority, 51 percent, also think that the NFL should not fine kneelers. Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, summarized the findings as follows:
“Voters are clearly torn on the National Anthem issue. They seem to be saying, ‘You can
still love your country and kneel during its Anthem,’ but the NFL’s new ‘must stand’ mandate is fine with them, too. As for teams that defy the new rule, Americans say, ‘Don’t throw a flag Continue reading "New Poll: Most Americans Don’t Think Taking a Knee During National Anthem is Unpatriotic"
One hundred and seventy-four days remain until the United States’ midterm elections (421 until the next presidential election, but who’s counting) — which means there’s still time to “evolve” how polling is conducted. The 2016 presidential election wasn’t polling’s shining moment, with many post-mortems pointing to opinion polls misleading election forecasters and underestimating now-President Trump’s support. It didn’t help that some polls were tied to news organizations that don’t really have the resources anymore to support this work — at least doing this work well. There’s no perfect poll aside from (maybe) the ballot itself, but the polling system — both conducted by the media and reported on in the media — has faced critics since long before November 8, 2016. These issues contributed to the Associated Press’ and Fox News’ departure from the Election Day polling data shared by the major networks last year. But now the wire Continue reading "Exiting the exit poll: The AP’s new plan for surveying voters after a not-so-hot 2016"
A new poll found that Americans think fired FBI director James Comey is “more believable” than President Donald Trump, and support the expansion of special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation. By a 16-point margin, 48-32 percent, Americans find Comey more believable than Trump, according to an ABC News-Washington Post poll. The poll comes as Comey embarks on a press tour for his bombshell book revealing the gritty details of his ouster from the FBI by Trump, at the dawn of the Russia investigation. And while Comey’s personal favorability rating is weak (30% favorable, 32% unfavorable), Americans disapprove of Trump’s decision to fire Comey by a 14-point margin, 47-33. Meanwhile, Mueller — who’s leading the investigation into the Trump campaign’s Russia ties — receives majority support from Americans to expand his investigation into the president’s business activities. That’s worth remembering the next time a pundit declares ‘the American people want to Continue reading "New Poll Reveals Who Americans Believe More: Trump or Comey"
News organizations have spent a lot of time talking to their readers; these days, they’re getting a little bit better at listening. Increased adoption of tools like Hearken and GroundSource over the past two years have shown that more newsrooms understand how direct feedback from readers can help drive their coverage. Germany-based Opinary has also benefited from this shift in outlook. The company, which develops polling tools that publishers can embed in their articles, recently raised €3 million ($2.7 million) both to build its product and to fund its expansion into the U.S., where it already has a small foothold. In addition to landing most of the top news organizations in Germany, Opinary has attracted the likes of The Telegraph, The Guardian, The Times, and The Independent in the U.K. and Time, Fortune, Forbes, HuffPost, NBC, and NPR in the U.S. Over 60 media companies
Continue reading "Opinary is building new tools to help news orgs use polls to inform their coverage"
“If you want the public’s opinion on anything — what to name your dog, who will win tonight’s game, which election issue people care most about — there’s no better place to get answers than on Twitter.” This is how Twitter introduces its “Twitter Polls” feature. Twitter polls might be useful for entertainment and business, but when it comes to politics, it’s more complicated: Twitter polls are not scientific; they are not systematically conducted and therefore cannot represent public opinion. Yet surprisingly, many individuals – ordinary citizens, public officials and political leaders – treat Twitter polls as valid representation of public opinion. Whether they fail to recognize its unscientific nature or intentionally use it as a pseudo-scientific platform for promoting their views, the result is increased cacophony, misinformation and polarization in social media and beyond. Given these problems, Twitter should update its design by adding an interactive warning
Continue reading "Why Twitter Polls Should Have a Warning Label"
Last month, President Donald Trump took to Twitter to tout a Rasmussen poll that showed he had a 46% approval rating. Immediately, the president was mocked for hyping up a survey that showed that the majority of Americans disapproved of the job he was doing. (It should also be noted that the Rasmussen poll was an outlier at the time, with most surveys showing Trump’s approval numbers in the 30s.) Well, he was back at it today. With a bevy of new polls showing Trump’s approval rating as low as 32%, POTUS jumped on one from Morning Consult/Politico that came out a few days ago.
Yes, he tweeted out a poll that has his approval rating at 45% (disapproval is at 51% in that survey) along with the caption “MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! Continue reading "Trump (Once Again) Tweets Out Poll Showing Most Americans Disapprove of His Job Performance"
MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! pic.twitter.com/64a93S07s7— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 8, 2017