Shock Poll: Trump Gains 19 Points with Latino Voters During Border Wall Shutdown

This post is by Caleb Howe from Mediaite

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US President Donald Trump inspects border wall prototypes in San Diego California March 2018 In the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll released Thursday, President Donald Trump may have suffered some among Republicans overall, but he saw a huge point gain in a different demographic breakdown, and an unexpected one by conventional wisdom. In early December, the poll had Trump’s approval rating among Latino adults at 31%. The results from the poll released Thursday show the president’s job approval among Latino adults at 50%. That is an astonishing 19 point swing. Prior results had less variance, with Latino approval numbers at 36% in their November 1st findings. It was 27% in the pollster’s mid-October survey. The January poll was conducted during the government shutdown over border wall funding, most notably. So the big swing among Latinos was while Trump and Democrats faced off over funding for the wall. The president did not fare that well among all Americans, or even among Republicans, with a seven point Continue reading "Shock Poll: Trump Gains 19 Points with Latino Voters During Border Wall Shutdown"

Exiting the exit poll: The AP’s new plan for surveying voters after a not-so-hot 2016

This post is by Christine Schmidt from Nieman Lab

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One hundred and seventy-four days remain until the United States’ midterm elections (421 until the next presidential election, but who’s counting) — which means there’s still time to “evolve” how polling is conducted. The 2016 presidential election wasn’t polling’s shining moment, with many post-mortems pointing to opinion polls misleading election forecasters and underestimating now-President Trump’s support. It didn’t help that some polls were tied to news organizations that don’t really have the resources anymore to support this work — at least doing this work well. There’s no perfect poll aside from (maybe) the ballot itself, but the polling system — both conducted by the media and reported on in the media — has faced critics since long before November 8, 2016. These issues contributed to the Associated Press’ and Fox News’ departure from the Election Day polling data shared by the major networks last year. But now the wire Continue reading "Exiting the exit poll: The AP’s new plan for surveying voters after a not-so-hot 2016"

Bill Maher Mocks Trump Voters: ‘Meet Me Half Way and Stop Being Stupid’

This post is by Jon Levine from Mediaite

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On last night’s edition of Real Time, host Bill Maher said he was doing his best to avoid calling Trump voters “stupid,” but that it wasn’t always easy. “I know you real Americans hate being called stupid,” said Maher. “But you gotta meet me half way and stop being stupid.” Maher’s monologue then moved into a long explanation of how Trump was a conman and his voters had been duped. “He promised the Keystone Pipeline would be built with American steel. It won’t. He promised to be the savior of coal miners, but here’e the headline last month, Trump’s budget slams West Virginia” Maher likened Trump to a “used care salesman,” adding that “with a used car salesman at least you get a car.” “Folks how much would you pay to get rid of ISIS very quickly,” Maher zinged.  “Here’s our guarantee on undocumented immigrants.” The monologue Continue reading "Bill Maher Mocks Trump Voters: ‘Meet Me Half Way and Stop Being Stupid’"

More Than Half of Anti-Trump Protesters Arrested in Portland Apparently Didn’t Vote

This post is by Ken Meyer from Mediaite

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A new local news investigative report found that more than half of the Portland demonstrators arrested during anti-Donald Trump protests did not actually participate in the voting process. As protests against the President-Elect continue across the country, more than 100 people have been taken into custody by the Portland Police Bureau. NBC affiliate KGW reviewed county voter logs and registration rolls, and found that 34 of the arrested protesters didn’t vote, and 35 more weren’t registered to vote in Oregon. They did find there were 25 people arrested who did vote and another 17 with records that haven’t been determined. Most of the nationwide protests have remained peaceful, though pro-Trump figures have suggested that violent incidents were instigated by “professional” protesters. Trump, himself, entertained that notion recently before walking things back somewhat and complimenting the demonstrators for their passion. Watch a local report on the protests above, via KGW. [Image via screengrab] — Continue reading "More Than Half of Anti-Trump Protesters Arrested in Portland Apparently Didn’t Vote"

Daily Must Reads, January 17, 2013

This post is by MediaShift from MediaShift

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Daily Must Reads

The best stories across the web on media and technology, curated by Julie Keck.

1. Facebook's second big announcement this week: free phone calls for U.S. iPhone users (Fast Company)

2. U.S. Attorney Ortiz defends prosecution of Aaron Swartz (Huffington Post)

3. Voters trust Twitter and Facebook as much as traditional media, according to survey (Politico)

4. Publishing execs come to grips with post-bookstore world (Digital Book Wire)

5. Social media not a mystery if you stick to solid marketing basics (Fast Company)

This is a summary. Visit our site for the full post ».

Jon Stewart Rips Fox News For Saying Single Women Voted For Obama To Get Free Stuff

This post is by Josh Feldman from Mediaite

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Jon Stewart reminded viewers tonight that last week’s election was a bad one for the GOP, particularly among minority groups. But what interested Stewart was the big gap between married women, who overwhelmingly supported Mitt Romney, and single women, who overwhelmingly went for President Obama. Stewart brought on women’s issues correspondent Kristen Schaal to explain the logic behind this and offer the GOP some advice for how to win single women.

Stewart threw out a challenge to see who could spin the news in “the most positive light you can.” The main consensus among Fox News pundits, at least, is that married women are more concerned about their future and their children’s future.

But what of single women voting overwhelmingly for Obama? Well, the faces of Fox chalked that up to abortion and wanting free birth control.

Stewart was then joined at the desk by Schaal, who helped explain how women made up their minds in the election. Schaal went out of her way to highlight her recent marriage, and while Stewart thought she looked like the same person, he couldn’t have been more wrong.

Schaal explained that the second she tied the knot, she felt an explosion of “concern for America’s future” inside of her, as opposed to single women, who “vote with their vaginas.” Schaal explained that “all vaginas have a sacred, almost mystical function”: attracting husbands, and married women don’t use them anymore unless they happen to run into a four-star general.

Schaal gave the GOP some advice about how to reach out to single women: use sexual metaphors to describe every single one of their policies.

Watch the video below, courtesy of Comedy Central:


Follow Josh Feldman on Twitter: @feldmaniac

Bobby Jindal Slams Romney For Saying Obama Won Because Of ‘Gifts’: ‘Stop Dividing American Voters’

This post is by Josh Feldman from Mediaite

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Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal is not shying away from giving the Republican party advice on its messaging following its big election loss last week. Yesterday he said the party needs to stop peddling “dumbed-down conservatism,” and today he strongly rebutted Mitt Romney‘s claim that President Obama won reelection because of the “gifts” he gave to key voter demographics. Jindal said that comments like Romney’s divide Americans and are the kind of thing the GOP needs to stop saying if they want to win over more voters.

RELATED: GOP Gov. Bobby Jindal: Republicans Need To ‘Stop Insulting The Intelligence Of The Voters’

Romney said that Obama promising benefits like health care and amnesty for illegal immigrants helped him win reelection. Jindal said he “absolutely reject[s]” what Romney said, and that he wants the Republican party to work for everyone’s vote by explaining how their policies benefit people who want to make it in America.

One, we have got to stop dividing American voters. We need to go after 100 percent of the votes, not 53 percent — we need to go after every single vote. And second, we need to continue to show that our policies help every voter out there achieve the American dream, which is to be in the middle class, which is to be able to give their children the opportunity to get a great education, which is for their children to have even better-paying jobs than their parents.

Jindal warned that for the Republican party to stay “competitive” in future elections, it has to show the electorate it is working to win every person’s vote, and not disparage different groups of Americans.

h/t TPM

Bill Maher: ‘I Would Never Try To Convince Fox News That Black People Aren’t Scary…’

This post is by Josh Feldman from Mediaite

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Bill Maher ended his show tonight with a New Rule pleading with minority voters not to start resenting all white people for supporting white candidates. He reassured them that “he’s one of the good ones” and went down a whole laundry list, mocking everything that white America holds dear, from white politicians and ultimate frisbee to UGG boots and Fox News.

Maher opened by having some fun with Fox News for only being able to track down one suspicious-looking possible Black Panther as evidence of voter suppression, down from two such people four years ago. He said he would “never try to convince Fox News that black people aren’t scary,” and told the network, “the only thing being suppressed is laughter.” He said that their narrative over the entire election has been “white people losing their power,” but they suffer from the same problem currently plaguing the Beach Boys–”their fans are dying.”

Maher observed the growing power of minorities in the United States, and sarcastically expressed his outrage over the stereotype that white people will only vote for white people. He pointed out that only 39 percent of white voters supported Obama on Tuesday, but voting for white politicians, “like most things white people do, [is] going out of style.”

Maher touted all the amazing gifts white people have given to the world, including Cirque de Soleil, ultimate frisbee, turkey burgers, and golf ball washers. And he noted the only time Obama ever won the white vote in his entire political career was when his opponent was another black man (Alan Keyes).

All in all, Maher said this was “one step forward, two steps back, or as [white people] call it, dancing.”

Watch the video below, courtesy of HBO:


Follow Josh Feldman on Twitter: @feldmaniac

S.E. Cupp Calls Bluff Of ‘Contemptible’ Undecided Voters : ‘You’re Either Procrastinating, Lazy Or Lying’

This post is by Noah Rothman from Mediaite

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MSNBC host S.E. Cupp directed her ire at the phenomenon of undecided voters on Tuesday. Cupp said that, with the debates in the rear-view mirror, there is no reason for anyone to remain undecided about which candidate they support for president. She said that that it was time for undecided voters to make up their minds.

RELATED: Chris Matthews Goes Off On ‘Bonehead’ Undecided Voters: ‘What’s Your Problem?’

After playing a clip of Saturday Night Live’s sendup of undecided voters, Cupp noted that this was not a badge of honor but a mark of shame for the uncommitted voter. “Your mere existence is so absurd that SNL cannot ignore you any longer,” Cupp said.

“You are officially out of excuses,” Cupp continued. She went on to outline the many reasons why it is unlikely that anybody who will cast a vote for either President Barack Obama or Mitt Romney has no opinion on either of candidate.

Cupp cited a study that showed women form their opinion about a potential suitor within 180 seconds, and require no further deliberation to know whether they will date a man or spurn his advances. Therefore, she says, there is no reason why undecided voters cannot become decided – and fast.

“I’m calling your bluff, undecideds. You – the most contemptible voting group out there. You’re either procrastinating, lazy or lying,” Cupp concluded. “So pick as side and make up your minds, and consider this your written invitation to the election.”

Watch the clip below via MSNBC:

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Major Garrett: Romney Advisor Told Me Problem Is Voters Think ‘He’s Been Too Rich For Too Long’

This post is by Josh Feldman from Mediaite

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National Journal‘s Major Garrett said on CBS This Morning that Romney’s campaign fully acknowledges the problem their candidate has with reaching out to middle-class voters, and said that one advisor told him that it is not solely Romney’s wealth that makes him appear out-of-touch to voters, but that he has been “too rich for too long.”

RELATED: O’Reilly And Romney Surrogate Try To Figure Out Why More Voters Personally Like Obama Over Romney

Garrett explained that the one thing both campaigns can agree on is that “Romney has a problem connecting with middle-class Americans.” While Romney edges President Obama out in polls asking who would make better economic decisions, voters are still wary of Romney and are not eager to support him because “they’re not sure who he is.” Garrett said that playing up Romney’s personal biography is part of the campaign’s strategy going forward.

As for whether voters will care that much about Romney’s past, Garrett argued that voters care not just about a candidate’s policy positions, but also the candidate’s personal story, and said there is “a gap” that divides Romney’s story with many Americans.

“One senior advisor said something that I think they believe to be fundamentally true. It’s not just that Mitt Romney is rich, he’s been too rich for too long. They believe that’s now become an embedded perception for some undecided voters. They’ve got to find a way to more directly humanize Mitt Romney and make his story more connected and more likable to the average voter.”

Watch the video below, courtesy of CBS:


Follow Josh Feldman on Twitter: @feldmaniac

O’Reilly Factor Poll: “Compassionate” Democrats Love Family Guy, Hate Palin

This post is by Frances Martel from Mediaite

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Americans can’t separate Sarah Palin’s person from her politics– that is the conclusion The O’Reilly Factor came to on Friday after having Fox News’ resident pollster Dr. Frank Luntz survey Philadelphia voters on their reactions to the Trig Palin-inspired Family Guy episode that sent his mother into yet another fit of Facebook rage. The polling showed that “Republicans” were much more repulsed by the program and more likely to support Palin’s plea to keep her son out of the political debate. “Democrats have a reputation of being more compassionate,” Luntz noted, “yet the Democrats didn’t find that offensive.”

Luntz specifies at the beginning of the segment that the people used in the experiment are neither Democrats nor Republicans, but people chosen because they voted for Barack Obama or John McCain. Using the parameters Luntz himself sets, it is possible that some of those Obama voters specifically voted against Palin despite being Republicans, so the conclusion that Democrats are not as compassionate as they seem because eleven Obama voters from Philadelphia laughed at Family Guy seems like a bit of a stretch. Bill O’Reilly’s point– that people find it difficult to separate Palin’s person and family life from her politics– is a more likely theory, especially considering how much of the Palin platform centers around family values and personal issues that are appealing to social conservatives.

What O’Reilly fails to point out is that this knife cuts both ways, and outrage from Palin voters at the segment is probably more of a reaction to seeing Palin offended than it is to watching a program that ridicules special needs babies. In fact, Luntz points out that the Palin voter line “tanks” right after the character with Down Syndrome says her mother is the former governor of Alaska, moreso than when the characters are ridiculing the Down Syndrome girl’s appearance without her having a political identity.

Watch the video below (and follow the nifty dynamic survey graph) below:

NoTube: Supreme Court Blocks YouTube From California’s Prop 8 Trial

This post is by Peter Kafka from MediaMemo

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12-angry-men-4Here’s a historic first you won’t be seeing today: Coverage of a federal trial via YouTube.

The U. S. Supreme Court has put a halt, at least temporarily, on plans to let Google’s (GOOG) video site stream coverage of the “Proposition 8″ trial, which kicked off today in a San Francisco courtroom.

California voters approved Prop. 8, a ban on same-sex marriages, in last fall’s elections, and the court is now being asked to overturn the law. U.S. District Judge Vaughn Walker was going to allow the trial to be covered, on a tape-delayed basis, on the world’s biggest video site.

But the Supreme Court this morning granted a temporary order overruling Vaughn. The court didn’t explain its reasoning, according to the Los Angeles Times, but perhaps we’ll hear more down the road–the ruling is only supposed to remain in effect until Wednesday.

In the meantime, if you want nearly real-time coverage of the proceedings, you still have other options. The San Jose Mercury News, for instance, is covering the trial from the courtroom. Here’s reporter Howard Mintz’s report on Judge Walker’s explanation of the Supreme Court decision:

Walker is beginning the proceedings by discussing his effort to broadcast the trial by posting it on the court’s Web site by using the YouTube platform. He just noted the court has received more than 138,000 responses to the proposed court rule change that allows broadcast, most in favor. The judge informed the court that only 32 people opposed it, prompting chuckles when he said “the returns are in.”

Other options include Twitter, of course. The American Foundation for Equal Rights, the advocacy group that filed suit to overturn Prop 8, has a hashtag here, for instance.

And if you really want video, here’s another option–an anti-Prop 8 video starring the likes of Jack Black and John C. Reilly: