Exiting the exit poll: The AP’s new plan for surveying voters after a not-so-hot 2016

One hundred and seventy-four days remain until the United States’ midterm elections (421 until the next presidential election, but who’s counting) — which means there’s still time to “evolve” how polling is conducted. The 2016 presidential election wasn’t polling’s shining moment, with many post-mortems pointing to opinion polls misleading election forecasters and underestimating now-President Trump’s support. It didn’t help that some polls were tied to news organizations that don’t really have the resources anymore to support this work — at least doing this work well. There’s no perfect poll aside from (maybe) the ballot itself, but the polling system — both conducted by the media and reported on in the media — has faced critics since long before November 8, 2016. These issues contributed to the Associated Press’ and Fox News’ departure from the Election Day polling data shared by the major networks last year. But now the wire Continue reading "Exiting the exit poll: The AP’s new plan for surveying voters after a not-so-hot 2016"

Why Do Single Women Have Such Low Voter Turnout Rates?

According to a report by the Voter Participation Center, a nonpartisan nonprofit focused on getting young Americans registered to vote and Lake Research Partners put out last week, some 40 million Americans who voted in the 2016 presidential election aren’t going to vote in 2018 midterm elections. And while single women, people of color, and millennials are popularly known as the Rising American Electorate, according to the study, two thirds of the aforementioned 40 million Americans will be members of the RAE. Just by nature of the fact that there tends to be less energy and publicity around midterms, just about every voter demographic experiences a pretty steep decline in voter turnout from presidential elections to midterms. But while turnout among older white voters is expected to decrease 22 percent from 2016, turnout among millennials, people of color, and unmarried women could fall 35 percent. There’s some logical explanation for this. Continue reading "Why Do Single Women Have Such Low Voter Turnout Rates?"

Huffington Post South Africa Takes Down Post Because Its Author ‘Appears Not to Exist’

huffpost Huffington Post South Africa has taken down a piece from their website titled “Could It Be Time To Deny White Men The Franchise?” because the author “appears not to exist.” You can still read the original post here, which makes an argument about how “if white men no longer had the vote, the progressive cause would be strengthened.” Here’s part of the argument:
It would not be necessary to deny white men indefinitely – the denial of the vote to white men for 20 years (just less than a generation) would go some way to seeing a decline in the influence of reactionary and neo-liberal ideology in the world. The influence of reckless white males were one of the primary reasons that led to the Great Recession which began in 2008. This would also strike a blow against toxic white masculinity, one that is long needed.
Continue reading "Huffington Post South Africa Takes Down Post Because Its Author ‘Appears Not to Exist’"

Trump: ‘I Won the Popular Vote If You Deduct the Millions of People Who Voted Illegally’

Donald Trump tweeted this afternoon that he won the popular vote if you factor out “the millions of people who voted illegally.” Earlier today Trump was going off on recount efforts by Jill Stein and the Hillary Clinton campaign, recalling how people were on his case to accept the election results. Well, now Trump is making this claim on Twitter: So is he alleging widespread voter fraud? Trump continued:

Jill Stein Addresses Recount Efforts: ‘It Looked Like This Was a Hack-Riddled Election’

Jill Stein took to Facebook Live tonight to address her efforts to get recounts going in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. “We are standing up for a voting system that we deserve,” she said, “that we can have confidence in, that has integrity and security and that we know is now subject to tampering, malfeasance, hacking, and so on.” She referenced previous instances of hacking throughout 2016 to say that this looked like a “hack-riddled election,” claiming that “our voting machines are very open to hacking.” Stein raised questions about the possibility that voting machines in all three states could be susceptible to hacking, though both 538 and New York Times‘ Upshot have significantly pushed back on the idea. And one of the computer experts who spoke with the Clinton campaign publicly clarified what he actually thinks about the likelihood of hacking. Stein said that she wants the Continue reading "Jill Stein Addresses Recount Efforts: ‘It Looked Like This Was a Hack-Riddled Election’"

MSNBC’s Kornacki on Questions About Potential Vote Hacking: ‘I Can’t See Anything to This’

kornackiMSNBC’s Steve Kornacki tonight tackled the questions that are being raised about the legitimacy of the vote in three states. There are people encouraging the Hillary Clinton campaign to contest the election results in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin due to some alleged evidence supposedly found by computer scientists to suggest tampering. The Jill Stein campaign is calling for a recount in those states. Both FiveThirtyEight and a reporter for New York Times‘ Upshot both basically debunked the idea that there’s anything concrete to this, and when Kornacki tackled the issue while guest-hosting Hardball tonight, he was very uncomfortable by this being brought up. NBC News contributor Raul Reyes pointed to how people are simply saying “there could be” evidence of hacking. Kornacki said that “we should be careful with this” and explained he looked into the issue here and “can’t see anything to this.”

Woman in Labor Stops to Vote Before Going to Hospital

Have you not voted yet? Are you sort of kicking around the idea that maybe you’re too tired or too busy or too far from your polling place? Do you have a pretty solid idea of what color your state will turn tonight and believe your vote is irrelevant so you might just sit this one out? Meet Sosha Adelstein. She was giving birth on Friday night when she stopped at the Boulder County Clerk and Recorder’s Office to drop off her ballot, according to Colorado ABC affiliate KTRK. In the video above, which shows Adelstein bonding with her new baby Bella Rose, the first-time mom says, “We ran over there and kind of made it just in time!” Listen up: If she can do it, you can do it. Go vote. [image: screengrab] Lindsey: Twitter. Facebook.